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Qual 122023 Rah Cha Cha Ruckus
Red122
999638.8
318133.9
317343.7
Blue101
140533.9
61047.2
383819.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151046080120140160122101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#14
43.71.2
45.3→46.5
Auto13.4
Teleop22.6
End7.7
blue by 3.4
610
#4
47.20.2
45.3→45.1
Auto13.5
Teleop25.0
End8.4
Second
9996
#3
38.81.9
26.0→27.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End7.8
red by 4.9
1405
#15
33.90.2
34.2→34.0
Auto5.6
Teleop22.4
End5.8
Third
3181
#16
33.91.2
33.4→34.5
Auto10.0
Teleop17.4
End6.5
red by 14.5
3838
#24
19.40.2
19.4→19.2
Auto7.8
Teleop5.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed