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Red112
42426.2
112619.3
403958.4
Blue66
150736.8
222834.0
19120.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411570809010011012013014011266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.2
57.057.2
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 21.5
1507
#18
36.83.0
44.541.5
Auto15.0
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Second
424
#25
26.20.2
32.632.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.0
End5.0
blue by 7.8
2228
#27
34.03.0
39.436.4
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Third
1126
#23
19.30.2
19.820.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End7.8
blue by 1.1
191
#29
20.43.0
21.918.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed