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Red117
37828.6
159158.6
493030.3
Blue61
151816.1
158512.1
540656.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1278305010015020025011761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#11
58.60.5
56.255.7
Auto15.3
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 2.5
56.11.4
54.352.9
Auto15.5
Teleop31.0
End9.0
Second
4930
#21
30.30.5
29.529.0
Auto5.3
Teleop18.7
End6.6
red by 14.2
1518
#22
16.11.6
17.115.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End6.4
Third
378
#17
28.60.5
28.628.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End6.6
red by 16.5
1585
#12
12.11.6
10.89.2
Auto5.0
Teleop1.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned