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Red111
151816.1
403958.4
205332.6
Blue174
57833.3
574036.8
540656.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108127050150200250111174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.5
55.555.9
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 2.3
56.12.5
52.955.5
Auto15.5
Teleop31.0
End9.0
Second
32.60.5
32.633.1
Auto11.3
Teleop15.5
End5.9
blue by 4.2
36.82.5
34.136.6
Auto9.7
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Third
1518
#22
16.10.5
16.116.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End6.4
blue by 17.2
578
#8
33.32.5
32.034.6
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned