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Red79
158512.1
63930.6
34032.8
Blue69
318133.9
112619.3
151132.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82940501502007969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#26
32.80.1
34.734.7
Auto6.7
Teleop19.1
End7.1
blue by 1.1
3181
#16
33.91.2
35.234.0
Auto10.0
Teleop17.4
End6.5
Second
639
#13
30.60.1
31.431.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.2
End8.0
blue by 2.0
1511
#32
32.51.2
31.230.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End6.1
Third
1585
#12
12.10.1
12.112.2
Auto5.0
Teleop1.7
End5.6
blue by 7.2
1126
#23
19.31.2
20.319.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed