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Red117
159158.6
19120.4
395124.5
Blue100
999638.8
493030.3
999328.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969860708090110120130117100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#11
58.60.9
54.855.7
Auto15.3
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 19.9
38.81.0
32.933.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End7.8
Second
3951
#10
24.50.9
23.724.6
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End5.7
blue by 5.8
4930
#21
30.30.6
29.730.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.7
End6.6
Third
191
#29
20.40.9
19.420.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End6.4
blue by 8.4
28.81.0
23.724.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned