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Red117
151132.5
999328.8
403958.4
Blue98
63930.6
317343.7
140533.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181169010011013014011798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.1
55.956.1
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 14.7
3173
#14
43.70.3
44.644.3
Auto13.4
Teleop22.6
End7.7
Second
1511
#32
32.50.1
30.130.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End6.1
blue by 1.3
1405
#15
33.90.3
34.734.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.4
End5.8
Third
28.80.2
24.724.9
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.2
blue by 1.7
639
#13
30.60.3
31.431.1
Auto9.4
Teleop13.2
End8.0