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Red136
150736.8
61047.2
222834.0
Blue120
301555.2
37935.8
34032.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241400100200300400136120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#4
47.20.3
47.247.5
Auto13.5
Teleop25.0
End8.4
blue by 8.1
55.20.2
57.156.9
Auto13.6
Teleop33.3
End8.0
Second
1507
#18
36.80.3
36.937.2
Auto15.0
Teleop14.6
End7.2
red by 1.1
379
#20
35.80.2
37.737.5
Auto11.9
Teleop16.7
End7.2
Third
2228
#27
34.00.3
34.034.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
red by 1.2
340
#26
32.80.2
34.734.5
Auto6.7
Teleop19.1
End7.1