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Red162
300334.7
999638.8
159158.6
Blue94
205332.6
57833.3
155937.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311095015020016294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#11
58.60.8
55.756.5
Auto15.3
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 21.2
1559
#19
37.50.2
37.737.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End7.7
Second
38.81.3
33.935.2
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End7.8
red by 5.5
578
#8
33.30.2
33.833.5
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End7.9
Third
3003
#31
34.70.8
31.832.6
Auto8.5
Teleop17.7
End8.4
red by 2.1
32.60.2
33.132.8
Auto11.3
Teleop15.5
End5.9