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Red84
140533.9
317343.7
63930.6
Blue86
301555.2
37935.8
34032.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141410501002002503008486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#14
43.70.6
44.343.7
Auto13.4
Teleop22.6
End7.7
blue by 11.5
55.21.0
56.956.0
Auto13.6
Teleop33.3
End8.0
Second
1405
#15
33.90.6
34.433.9
Auto5.6
Teleop22.4
End5.8
blue by 1.9
379
#20
35.81.0
37.536.5
Auto11.9
Teleop16.7
End7.2
Third
639
#13
30.60.6
31.130.6
Auto9.4
Teleop13.2
End8.0
blue by 2.3
340
#26
32.81.0
34.533.6
Auto6.7
Teleop19.1
End7.1