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Red117
301561.6
752234.2
362427.1
Blue38
501621.7
151127.0
514916.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13543010015020025011738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.7
58.958.2
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End9.3
red by 34.5
1511
#35
27.01.0
24.123.0
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End6.7
Second
7522
#11
34.21.2
30.129.0
Auto12.1
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 12.5
5016
#37
21.71.0
15.714.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.0
End6.7
Third
3624
#34
27.10.7
26.425.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End6.7
red by 10.2
5149
#43
16.91.6
12.210.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed