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Red75
771821.8
457122.7
662123.6
Blue46
703119.9
304418.0
664814.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57522040801007546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6621
#41
23.61.6
21.022.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End4.3
red by 3.7
7031
#48
19.90.9
16.715.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Second
4571
#28
22.71.5
16.518.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.6
red by 4.7
3044
#47
18.00.6
16.415.7
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End2.8
Third
7718
#18
21.82.4
15.718.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End7.5
red by 7.4
6648
#44
14.30.9
16.415.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed