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Red110
34043.4
28730.6
57831.7
Blue107
493029.7
26328.8
279145.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9291607080100110120110107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#7
43.42.2
38.040.2
Auto10.1
Teleop26.2
End7.2
blue by 2.3
2791
#30
45.71.5
41.342.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.7
End6.6
Second
578
#23
31.71.8
24.226.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End7.4
red by 1.9
4930
#39
29.71.5
24.325.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Third
287
#15
30.61.7
23.024.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
red by 1.8
263
#26
28.81.3
21.622.9
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned