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Red122
2821.4
149345.7
279145.7
Blue135
186040.7
179646.8
33342.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041038090100110120130122135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.7
40.842.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End10.0
blue by 1.1
46.81.9
29.631.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.2
End8.1
Second
2791
#30
45.71.7
42.444.1
Auto12.3
Teleop26.7
End6.6
red by 3.1
333
#6
42.61.9
36.938.8
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Third
28
#31
21.41.6
14.315.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End7.2
blue by 19.3
1860
#20
40.71.9
30.031.9
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned