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Red124
301561.6
63932.8
750421.1
Blue99
362427.1
691137.9
457122.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11078406010012014016012499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.3
58.860.1
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End9.3
red by 23.7
6911
#25
37.90.1
33.233.3
Auto16.1
Teleop12.8
End9.0
Second
639
#12
32.81.8
22.424.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.3
End7.4
red by 5.7
3624
#34
27.10.1
27.027.1
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End6.7
Third
7504
#19
21.12.2
17.920.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End5.9
blue by 1.6
4571
#28
22.70.1
17.217.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned