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Red122
771821.8
752234.2
179646.8
Blue119
57831.7
750421.1
260149.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90100050150200122119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.82.4
36.138.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.2
End8.1
blue by 2.6
49.41.8
44.446.1
Auto13.4
Teleop27.4
End8.6
Second
7522
#11
34.24.1
32.536.6
Auto12.1
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 2.5
578
#23
31.71.8
25.927.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End7.4
Third
7718
#18
21.84.1
17.021.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End7.5
red by 0.7
7504
#19
21.13.0
21.924.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned