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Red87
501621.7
22915.9
42436.3
Blue111
457122.7
486030.6
186040.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6583204010012014016087111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#22
36.30.2
31.431.7
Auto10.5
Teleop20.1
End5.7
blue by 4.5
1860
#20
40.72.3
34.536.9
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End10.6
Second
5016
#37
21.70.2
17.017.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.0
End6.7
blue by 8.8
4860
#24
30.63.9
22.726.6
Auto8.3
Teleop18.5
End3.8
Third
229
#38
15.90.2
15.115.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End4.1
blue by 6.8
4571
#28
22.72.3
18.721.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned