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Red80
662123.6
300333.3
412240.9
Blue79
664814.3
149345.7
731825.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028140601201401608079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.9
38.337.5
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End8.2
blue by 4.8
45.70.0
44.244.3
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End10.0
Second
3003
#17
33.30.9
33.332.4
Auto12.9
Teleop13.7
End6.7
red by 7.8
7318
#27
25.50.0
20.520.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.9
End5.3
Third
6621
#41
23.60.9
21.520.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End4.3
red by 9.3
6648
#44
14.30.0
14.014.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned