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Red91
19125.8
301561.6
588119.2
Blue103
445829.9
703018.7
34043.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119240608010012014016091103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.7
57.356.6
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End9.3
red by 18.2
340
#7
43.40.7
40.641.4
Auto10.1
Teleop26.2
End7.2
Second
191
#40
25.80.7
24.523.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End7.7
blue by 4.1
4458
#16
29.90.6
30.030.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.2
End6.4
Third
5881
#33
19.21.2
20.018.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End5.6
red by 0.5
7030
#45
18.71.1
17.818.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned