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Red99
752234.2
33342.6
19125.8
Blue127
81033.3
2048.4
301561.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001465020099127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#6
42.60.0
39.339.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End7.4
blue by 19.0
61.60.3
56.656.3
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End9.3
Second
7522
#11
34.20.1
36.636.5
Auto12.1
Teleop17.1
End5.0
blue by 14.2
20
#5
48.40.3
47.847.5
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Third
191
#40
25.80.0
23.823.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End7.7
blue by 7.6
810
#21
33.30.3
28.528.2
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned