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Red113
493029.7
57831.7
412240.9
Blue150
14437.0
301561.6
33342.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9515250200113150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.1
37.638.7
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End8.2
blue by 20.7
61.60.6
59.359.9
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End9.3
Second
578
#23
31.71.1
31.032.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End7.4
blue by 10.9
333
#6
42.60.6
40.541.1
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Third
4930
#39
29.71.1
27.929.0
Auto6.6
Teleop17.4
End5.8
blue by 7.2
144
#4
37.00.6
35.736.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned