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Red80
151127.0
700415.3
149345.7
Blue98
279145.7
22915.9
445829.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929760801201408098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.5
46.546.0
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End10.0
red by 0.1
2791
#30
45.70.5
46.146.6
Auto12.3
Teleop26.7
End6.6
Second
1511
#35
27.00.5
25.224.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End6.7
blue by 2.8
4458
#16
29.90.5
29.329.8
Auto10.2
Teleop13.2
End6.4
Third
7004
#46
15.30.5
15.515.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 0.6
229
#38
15.90.5
15.315.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsMissed