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Red159
493029.7
179646.8
301561.6
Blue113
63932.8
57831.7
300333.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479950200250159113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.4
59.660.0
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End9.3
red by 28.3
3003
#17
33.30.3
33.834.1
Auto12.9
Teleop13.7
End6.7
Second
46.80.4
44.845.2
Auto12.5
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 14.0
639
#12
32.80.3
33.333.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.3
End7.4
Third
4930
#39
29.70.4
27.728.1
Auto6.6
Teleop17.4
End5.8
blue by 1.9
578
#23
31.70.3
32.132.4
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End7.4