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Red102
33342.6
640129.0
25042.5
Blue146
34043.4
149345.7
42436.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12313450100150200250102146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#6
42.60.4
43.543.0
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End7.4
blue by 3.1
45.70.5
45.345.8
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End10.0
Second
250
#10
42.50.4
43.342.9
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End5.9
blue by 0.9
340
#7
43.40.5
42.943.4
Auto10.1
Teleop26.2
End7.2
Third
6401
#14
29.00.4
29.829.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End6.3
blue by 7.3
424
#22
36.30.5
35.836.3
Auto10.5
Teleop20.1
End5.7