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Red146
81033.3
395039.6
14437.0
Blue130
412240.9
279145.7
457122.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117107050150200146130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#13
39.60.1
39.339.4
Auto9.8
Teleop22.1
End7.7
blue by 6.1
2791
#30
45.70.6
43.143.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.7
End6.6
Second
144
#4
37.00.1
36.636.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End7.0
blue by 4.0
40.90.6
38.439.0
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
810
#21
33.30.1
33.033.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
red by 10.6
4571
#28
22.70.6
20.120.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.6