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Red66
300333.3
57831.7
63932.8
Blue105
25042.5
640129.0
33342.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041265015020066105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#17
33.30.8
34.133.3
Auto12.9
Teleop13.7
End6.7
blue by 9.3
333
#6
42.60.2
43.042.8
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Second
639
#12
32.80.8
33.632.8
Auto10.1
Teleop15.3
End7.4
blue by 9.7
250
#10
42.50.2
42.942.7
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End5.9
Third
578
#23
31.70.8
32.431.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End7.4
red by 2.7
6401
#14
29.00.2
29.429.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End6.3