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Red100
186040.7
486030.6
752234.2
Blue122
412240.9
279145.7
457122.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131106080100120140160100122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1860
#20
40.70.1
40.940.7
Auto9.5
Teleop20.6
End10.6
blue by 4.9
2791
#30
45.70.4
43.744.2
Auto12.3
Teleop26.7
End6.6
Second
7522
#11
34.20.2
34.334.2
Auto12.1
Teleop17.1
End5.0
blue by 6.8
40.90.4
39.039.4
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
4860
#24
30.60.2
30.730.6
Auto8.3
Teleop18.5
End3.8
red by 7.9
4571
#28
22.70.4
20.821.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.6