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Red107
42436.3
149345.7
34043.4
Blue135
412240.9
279145.7
457122.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139107050150200107135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.4
46.245.7
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End10.0
red by 0.1
2791
#30
45.70.4
44.244.6
Auto12.3
Teleop26.7
End6.6
Second
340
#7
43.40.4
43.843.4
Auto10.1
Teleop26.2
End7.2
red by 2.4
40.90.4
39.439.9
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
424
#22
36.30.4
36.736.3
Auto10.5
Teleop20.1
End5.7
red by 13.6
4571
#28
22.70.4
21.221.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.6