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Red140
26328.8
260149.4
2048.4
Blue106
25042.5
640129.0
33342.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381206080100160180200140106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.1
49.849.8
Auto13.4
Teleop27.4
End8.6
red by 6.8
333
#6
42.60.2
42.842.6
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Second
20
#5
48.40.1
48.848.8
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
red by 5.9
250
#10
42.50.2
42.742.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End5.9
Third
263
#26
28.80.1
28.828.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End5.2
blue by 0.2
6401
#14
29.00.2
29.229.0
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End6.3