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Red170
493029.7
179646.8
301561.6
Blue111
14437.0
395039.6
81033.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811450100200170111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.7
60.561.1
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End9.3
red by 22.0
3950
#13
39.60.0
39.939.9
Auto9.8
Teleop22.1
End7.7
Second
46.80.7
45.746.4
Auto12.5
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 9.9
144
#4
37.00.0
37.337.3
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End7.0
Third
4930
#39
29.70.7
28.629.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.4
End5.8
blue by 3.6
810
#21
33.30.0
33.633.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9