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Red117
28730.6
260149.4
2048.4
Blue119
412240.9
279145.7
457122.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110950100150200117119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.4
49.849.4
Auto13.4
Teleop27.4
End8.6
red by 3.7
2791
#30
45.70.1
44.644.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.7
End6.6
Second
20
#5
48.40.4
48.848.4
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
red by 7.5
40.90.1
39.939.9
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
287
#15
30.60.4
31.030.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
red by 7.9
4571
#28
22.70.1
21.621.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.6