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Red0
566731.3
402861.6
69561.4
Blue141
4846.4
320143.8
461143.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1601410501002000141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#1DQ
61.60.5
60.360.8
Auto16.7
Teleop36.3
End8.1
red by 15.1
48
#8
46.40.1
46.946.8
Auto13.6
Teleop25.5
End7.4
Second
695
#3DQ
61.40.5
60.160.5
Auto13.8
Teleop39.0
End7.9
red by 17.6
3201
#18
43.80.1
44.244.1
Auto10.1
Teleop24.6
End9.1
Third
5667
#24DQ
31.30.5
30.030.4
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
blue by 11.7
43.00.1
43.543.3
Auto9.7
Teleop24.2
End8.9