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Red181
566731.3
402861.6
69561.4
Blue132
4846.4
320143.8
461143.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16114080100120180200220240181132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.6
60.861.4
Auto16.7
Teleop36.3
End8.1
red by 15.1
48
#8
46.40.1
46.846.8
Auto13.6
Teleop25.5
End7.4
Second
695
#3
61.40.6
60.561.2
Auto13.8
Teleop39.0
End7.9
red by 17.6
3201
#18
43.80.1
44.144.1
Auto10.1
Teleop24.6
End9.1
Third
5667
#24
31.30.6
30.431.1
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
blue by 11.7
43.00.0
43.343.3
Auto9.7
Teleop24.2
End8.9