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Red106
209520.4
217225.9
574034.2
Blue42
871316.2
460118.4
871814.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7848020406010012010642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#21
34.22.6
28.831.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End7.7
red by 15.8
4601
#35
18.41.3
14.012.7
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Second
2172
#25
25.92.6
21.724.3
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End6.4
red by 9.7
8713
#27
16.21.9
17.615.7
Auto7.9
Teleop2.5
End5.8
Third
2095
#41
20.42.1
19.021.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End3.8
red by 6.0
8718
#40
14.51.9
17.715.8
Auto1.4
Teleop7.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed