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Red96
803724.4
618143.9
263220.5
Blue90
69561.4
377718.6
541332.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601150501001502009690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.93.7
23.827.5
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End9.1
blue by 17.4
695
#3
61.40.7
54.954.1
Auto13.8
Teleop39.0
End7.9
Second
8037
#37
24.43.7
19.423.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End7.8
blue by 8.5
5413
#19
32.90.8
29.829.0
Auto7.3
Teleop17.3
End8.3
Third
2632
#38
20.53.7
19.823.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End6.4
red by 1.9
3777
#32
18.61.2
16.315.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed