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Red119
225256.8
12030.4
412126.2
Blue47
871316.2
809649.3
803724.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098720406010012014016011947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.6
48.348.9
Auto15.9
Teleop32.1
End8.8
red by 7.5
8096
#23
49.32.5
45.643.1
Auto14.6
Teleop27.9
End6.7
Second
120
#20
30.40.7
26.927.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End7.5
red by 6.0
8037
#37
24.44.2
23.118.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End7.8
Third
4121
#34
26.20.6
24.625.2
Auto11.6
Teleop8.8
End5.9
red by 10.1
8713
#27
16.24.2
15.711.5
Auto7.9
Teleop2.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed