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Red116
584736.3
155131.2
140540.0
Blue99
112621.5
320143.8
45121.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9663020408012014016011699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#17
40.02.2
32.034.2
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End7.2
blue by 3.8
3201
#18
43.82.4
37.740.1
Auto10.1
Teleop24.6
End9.1
Second
5847
#14
36.32.0
29.331.3
Auto7.9
Teleop20.0
End8.4
red by 14.8
1126
#36
21.52.9
10.113.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End7.7
Third
1551
#11
31.22.2
24.927.1
Auto12.1
Teleop11.3
End7.8
red by 9.8
451
#31
21.42.4
15.718.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed