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Red95
317347.7
263220.5
824319.7
Blue137
155131.2
803724.4
642149.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959370809010011012013095137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#13
47.70.4
41.642.0
Auto13.7
Teleop25.3
End8.6
blue by 1.6
49.32.6
42.745.3
Auto15.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
2632
#38
20.50.7
26.126.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End6.4
blue by 10.7
1551
#11
31.22.6
25.928.5
Auto12.1
Teleop11.3
End7.8
Third
8243
#33
19.70.7
20.921.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End4.6
blue by 4.7
8037
#37
24.44.4
19.223.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned