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Red128
414528.0
402861.6
746040.1
Blue111
278338.9
541332.9
584736.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271016080120140160180128111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.8
54.555.4
Auto16.7
Teleop36.3
End8.1
red by 22.7
38.90.5
36.036.5
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End8.6
Second
7460
#10
40.10.8
34.335.1
Auto9.4
Teleop23.2
End7.4
red by 3.7
5847
#14
36.30.5
33.133.6
Auto7.9
Teleop20.0
End8.4
Third
4145
#48
28.00.8
27.127.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.3
End5.8
blue by 4.9
5413
#19
32.90.5
29.129.7
Auto7.3
Teleop17.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned