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Red127
541332.9
574034.2
642149.3
Blue106
140540.0
222837.8
788521.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12796406080140160180200127106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.8
49.149.9
Auto15.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
red by 9.3
1405
#17
40.00.8
37.838.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End7.2
Second
5740
#21
34.20.8
34.034.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End7.7
blue by 3.6
2228
#26
37.80.8
36.136.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Third
5413
#19
32.90.8
32.232.9
Auto7.3
Teleop17.3
End8.3
red by 11.8
7885
#47
21.11.0
20.121.1
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned