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Red180
566731.3
402861.6
69561.4
Blue137
809649.3
222837.8
822224.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15910950100150200180137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.8
58.859.6
Auto16.7
Teleop36.3
End8.1
red by 12.3
8096
#23
49.30.6
48.348.9
Auto14.6
Teleop27.9
End6.7
Second
695
#3
61.40.8
58.659.4
Auto13.8
Teleop39.0
End7.9
red by 23.5
2228
#26
37.80.6
36.937.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Third
5667
#24
31.30.8
28.529.3
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
red by 6.6
8222
#12
24.70.8
23.524.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.3
End7.6