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Red143
461143.0
320143.8
4846.4
Blue113
746040.1
642149.3
574034.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14013180100120160180200220143113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#8
46.40.3
45.645.8
Auto13.6
Teleop25.5
End7.4
blue by 2.9
49.30.3
49.549.3
Auto15.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
3201
#18
43.80.3
42.943.2
Auto10.1
Teleop24.6
End9.1
red by 3.7
7460
#10
40.10.3
40.340.1
Auto9.4
Teleop23.2
End7.4
Third
43.00.3
42.142.4
Auto9.7
Teleop24.2
End8.9
red by 8.8
5740
#21
34.20.3
34.534.2
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End7.7