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Red176
566731.3
402861.6
69561.4
Blue153
317347.7
225256.8
12030.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713980100120180200220240176153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.7
59.660.3
Auto16.7
Teleop36.3
End8.1
red by 4.8
56.80.4
56.156.5
Auto15.9
Teleop32.1
End8.8
Second
695
#3
61.40.7
59.460.1
Auto13.8
Teleop39.0
End7.9
red by 13.7
3173
#13
47.70.4
47.047.4
Auto13.7
Teleop25.3
End8.6
Third
5667
#24
31.30.7
29.330.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
red by 0.9
120
#20
30.40.4
29.730.1
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End7.5