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Red127
350429.9
402851.1
402047.4
Blue150
173247.0
69555.5
170823.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13813150100150200127150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#12
51.10.0
51.151.1
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
blue by 4.4
695
#1
55.50.2
55.155.3
Auto13.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
Second
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
red by 0.4
47.00.2
46.646.9
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End8.1
Third
3504
#16
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End7.8
red by 6.6
1708
#30
23.20.3
22.723.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End5.3