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Red139
170823.2
69555.5
173247.0
Blue118
103835.1
320138.0
716533.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510950100150200139118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#1
55.50.2
54.855.1
Auto13.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 17.5
3201
#11
38.00.3
37.738.0
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End6.4
Second
47.00.2
46.446.6
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End8.1
red by 11.9
1038
#14
35.10.3
34.935.1
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End5.9
Third
1708
#30
23.20.3
22.422.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End5.3
blue by 10.4
7165
#29
33.60.3
33.333.6
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End6.8