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Red140
103835.1
320138.0
716533.6
Blue132
32539.7
178748.9
398427.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091256080100140160180140132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#11
38.00.7
37.037.7
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End6.4
blue by 10.9
48.90.5
48.448.9
Auto12.7
Teleop28.3
End7.8
Second
1038
#14
35.10.6
34.334.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End5.9
blue by 4.6
325
#10
39.70.4
39.339.7
Auto12.5
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
7165
#29
33.60.7
32.633.3
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End6.8
red by 6.1
3984
#32
27.60.5
27.127.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.9
End8.3