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Red120
170823.2
69555.5
173247.0
Blue192
402047.4
402851.1
350429.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13113680100120160180120192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#1
55.50.1
54.954.8
Auto13.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 4.4
4028
#12
51.10.4
50.751.1
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
Second
47.00.1
46.546.4
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End8.1
blue by 0.4
47.40.4
47.147.4
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
Third
1708
#30
23.20.1
22.522.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End5.3
blue by 6.6
3504
#16
29.90.4
29.529.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End7.8