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Red102
349227.4
205121.8
173247.0
Blue123
261446.7
541328.9
32539.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6910020406080120140160102123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.02.2
36.038.2
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End8.1
red by 0.4
46.73.7
39.242.8
Auto13.8
Teleop23.4
End9.3
Second
3492
#27
27.43.7
21.525.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.5
blue by 12.3
325
#10
39.73.7
30.233.8
Auto12.5
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
2051
#26
21.83.7
11.415.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End5.4
blue by 7.1
28.93.7
20.824.4
Auto5.0
Teleop15.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned