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Red102
131735.0
350429.9
239942.1
Blue131
402851.1
461132.8
260335.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110420406080120140160180102131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#17
42.13.4
27.530.9
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End8.4
blue by 8.9
4028
#12
51.13.6
38.141.7
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
Second
1317
#19
35.03.4
23.827.3
Auto11.9
Teleop15.6
End7.4
blue by 0.3
35.33.6
26.630.2
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End8.8
Third
3504
#16
29.93.4
19.723.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End7.8
blue by 3.0
32.83.6
29.132.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned