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Red108
55433.9
603226.1
402851.1
Blue124
225247.4
696424.3
261446.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106106105110115120108124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#12
51.10.9
41.742.6
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
red by 3.7
47.42.2
34.036.2
Auto16.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
Second
554
#13
33.90.9
29.130.0
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End6.6
blue by 12.7
46.72.2
42.845.0
Auto13.8
Teleop23.4
End9.3
Third
6032
#36
26.10.9
28.729.7
Auto9.1
Teleop11.9
End5.1
red by 1.8
6964
#38
24.32.2
22.624.7
Auto8.3
Teleop9.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsMissed